The entry is an overview of Decision Theory and philosophical work on this topic. We did revisions to this entry this year (2020). One major addition was to include recent work on (un)conscious "unawareness" about the epistemic possibilities, or the full suite of possible consequences associated with one's decision options.
Read MoreThis paper is about why we find it problematic to appeal to certain kinds of statistical or profiling evidence when making decisions about individuals. I argue for a novel solution: the problem has to do with the causal information carried by the evidence. We object to evidence that is merely accidental in that it does not carry appropriate causal information pertinent to the decision.
Read MoreThis paper is about how an agent should rationally update her probabilistic beliefs when her conceptual space (modelled as an algebra of propositions) grows. This is not like typical cases of learning, which are cases in which an agent comes to revise her beliefs for propositions about which she was already aware. We investigate whether the learning rules for the typical cases of learning can be extended to the case of conceptual growth.
Read MoreHere HMI CI Katie Steele argues that on a certain way of modelling an agent's preferences and understanding her "time preferences", exponential time discounting is uniquely rational. However, if "time preferences" are understood differently, then exponential time discounting is not uniquely rational. This helps in understanding why the prescription of exponential time discounting has many defenders but also many detractors.
Read MoreThis paper considers strategies for making decisions in the face of severe uncertainty, when one's beliefs are best represented by a set of probability functions over the possible states of the world (as opposed to a single precise probability function). The question is whether one can employ a decision strategy that does not have the disadvantage of making one vulnerable to sure loss in sequential-decision scenarios.
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